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A storm from March 10 to 16, 2026, buckled roadways and collapsed buildings in Hawaii.
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More than five feet of rain fell in some parts of Maui from March 10 to 16, 2026.
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Thirty-three inches of rain fell in 24 hours at Haleakalā crater near Maui’s summit between March 10 and March 16, 2026.
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Much of Hawaii is under a flood watch.
National Weather Service forecasters
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“Given the high soil saturation from the recent kona storm, even moderate rainfall rates could pose a risk for rapid runoff and flooding.”
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The anticipated rain this week in Hawaii is from a new kona storm.
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A kona storm is a weather pattern that can cause heavy rainfall on typically dry, leeward areas of the Hawaiian Islands.
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The regions of the Hawaiian Islands that receive heavy rain from kona storms are the same regions where wildfires have become more common over the past several decades.
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Rainfall on fire-affected areas triggers runoff and erosion, which can worsen flooding and raise the risk of mudslides.
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More than 100 people died in a fire in Lahaina, Maui, in 2023.
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Lahaina was one of the areas hit hard by the recent floods.
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Joseph Pluta is a Lahaina resident who lost his home in the 2023 fire.
Joseph Pluta
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“All that crap is washing down the hill to people’s homes and to the ocean and into the streets. It’s a real mess.”
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Most rainfall in Hawaii is generated by orographic lift, in which trade winds hit the islands’ mountainous terrain and force air upward so it cools, condenses into clouds and produces rain.
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Most trade winds in Hawaii come from the northeast, and the islands’ mountains keep the majority of precipitation on the windward side.
Thomas Giambelluca, Professor Emeritus at the University of Hawaii at Mānoa
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“We have windward locations that get on average 400 inches a year.”
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The south and west parts of the Hawaiian Islands generally remain relatively dry.
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During a kona storm, a low pressure system spins off the jet stream northwest of the islands and draws a plume of tropical moisture toward Hawaii, bringing winds from the south that deliver heavy precipitation to areas usually sheltered from rain.
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A recent kona storm set daily rainfall records at four official sites in Hawaii.
Laksmi Abraham, Spokesperson for Maui County
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“Unlike anything we have experienced in our lifetime.”
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Kona storms are affecting parts of Maui where wildfires have become more frequent and intense.
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The trend of more frequent wildfires is linked to the proliferation of nonnative and highly flammable grasses on fallowed landscapes once used for sugar and pineapple plantations.
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Clay Trauernicht is a wildland fire specialist at the University of Hawaiʻi at Mānoa who has warned for years about the risks of nonnative grasses.
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The 2023 Lahaina fire highlighted the risks posed by nonnative grasses.
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Flooding can spur the growth of nonnative grasses, which later die in drought conditions and add fuel for fires.
Camilo Mora, Climate Scientist and Professor at the University of Hawaiʻi at Mānoa
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“What they do is add fuel.”
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Rain runs off recently burned slopes more rapidly, which can cause more intense flooding.
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In areas dominated by unburned invasive grasses, the water table is shallower and the soil is less absorptive compared to native forests.
Clay Trauernicht, Wildland Fire Specialist at the University of Hawaiʻi at Mānoa
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“Grass root structure tends to be more of these matting, shallow roots.”
Clay Trauernicht, Wildland Fire Specialist at the University of Hawaiʻi at Mānoa
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“You get more water running across the surface.”
Clay Trauernicht, Wildland Fire Specialist at the University of Hawaiʻi at Mānoa
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“Places like Lahaina are highly vulnerable given their fire history.”
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Some parts of South Maui, including areas of Kihei, are in federally designated floodplains.
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During the recent storms, a condominium building collapsed and roadways failed in Kihei.
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The County of Maui is working to overhaul drainage systems and improve infrastructure resilience.
Jordan Molina, Director of Maui County’s Department of Public Works
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“Designing infrastructure capable of fully eliminating flooding during extreme storm events like this recent kona low would require an extraordinarily large and costly system that would not be financially feasible.”
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On Wednesday and Thursday, the Maui County Public Works Department staged equipment, cleared debris from roads, and inspected drainages for obstructions ahead of the next storm’s arrival Thursday night.
Thomas Giambelluca, Professor Emeritus at the University of Hawaii at Mānoa
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“It’s concerning — we’re primed for flooding.”
Thomas Giambelluca, Professor Emeritus at the University of Hawaii at Mānoa
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“Having this back to back could be bad.”
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