Friedrich Merz, Germany’s chancellor
Relevance: primary · Type: quote
Confidence90%
Friedrich Merz said "The US is being humiliated by Iran’s leadership."
Friedrich Merz, Germany’s chancellor
Relevance: primary · Type: quote
Confidence90%
Friedrich Merz said "The Iranians are obviously very skilled at negotiating, or rather, very skilful at not negotiating, letting the Americans travel to Islamabad and then leave again without any result."
Friedrich Merz, Germany’s chancellor
Relevance: primary · Type: quote
Confidence90%
Friedrich Merz said "An entire nation is being humiliated by the Iranian leadership, especially by these so-called Revolutionary Guards. And so I hope that this ends as quickly as possible."
Relevance: supporting · Type: event
Confidence80%
Donald Trump cancelled a trip by US negotiators to Islamabad for indirect talks with an Iranian delegation two days before Friedrich Merz’s comments.
Relevance: supporting · Type: event
Confidence80%
A previous round of indirect talks in Islamabad two weeks earlier, led by American vice-president JD Vance, broke up without progress.
Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence80%
Merz’s assessment of stalled US-Iranian talks directly contradicted President Trump’s effort to present the talks positively.
Donald Trump, President
Relevance: supporting · Type: quote
Confidence80%
President Trump told Fox News: "We have all the cards. If Tehran wanted to talk, they can come to us, or they can call us."
Relevance: supporting · Type: event
Confidence80%
Iran put forward a proposal for a ceasefire deal focused on opening the Strait of Hormuz and delaying discussions on nuclear weapons, missiles, sanctions and other issues until later.
Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence80%
Under a bill being prepared by Iran’s parliament, shippers would have to pay Tehran for "services" involved in passing through the Strait of Hormuz, which was free before the war.
Relevance: supporting · Type: action
Confidence80%
Iranian officials said Tehran would be prepared to discuss the nuclear issue only after the US blockade had ended.
Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence80%
Iranian negotiators are facing domestic pressure from the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and public opinion not to discuss nuclear matters.
Relevance: supporting · Type: action
Confidence80%
The UN’s International Maritime Organization rejected the idea of imposing fees on ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz.
Arsenio Dominguez, secretary general, International Maritime Organization
Relevance: supporting · Type: quote
Confidence90%
Arsenio Dominguez said "There’s no legal basis for the introduction of any tax, any customs, or any fees on straits for international navigation."
Relevance: supporting · Type: action
Confidence80%
After the breakdown of the Islamabad talks, President Trump imposed a counter-blockade of shipping through Iranian ports.
Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence90%
The International Monetary Fund forecast a 6.1% contraction in Iran’s gross domestic product this year and year-on-year inflation at nearly 70%, with higher increases for food staples and healthcare prices.
Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence80%
The blockade has stopped Iran’s empty tankers from returning to port, where they could serve as storage facilities.
Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence80%
Iran has limited storage capacity for its oil output, and winding down production could have long-term effects on its energy sector.
Relevance: supporting · Type: event
Confidence80%
Iranian foreign minister Abbas Araghchi met Russian President Vladimir Putin and a high-level Russian delegation in Moscow.
Vladimir Putin, President of Russia
Relevance: supporting · Type: quote
Confidence80%
Vladimir Putin pledged that Russia "will do everything that serves [Iranian] interests, the interests of all the people of the region, so that peace can be achieved as soon as possible."
Abbas Araghchi, Iranian foreign minister
Relevance: supporting · Type: quote
Confidence80%
Abbas Araghchi said "The world has now realised Iran’s true power. It has become clear that the Islamic republic of Iran is a stable, solid and powerful system."
Nikita Smagin, analyst of Russian-Iranian relations
Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence80%
Nikita Smagin said the talks focused on Russian military and economic support, including transit routes for Iranian trade.
Nikita Smagin, analyst of Russian-Iranian relations
Relevance: supporting · Type: quote
Confidence90%
Nikita Smagin wrote "If the US blockade continues, then the Caspian Sea and the land link with Russia will become one of the few remaining routes for connecting Iran with world markets."
Relevance: supporting · Type: event
Confidence80%
In March, Israel bombed Bandar Anzali, an Iranian port, in an attack on the Caspian route.
Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence80%
The Strait of Hormuz handled over 90% of Iran’s prewar trade, and before the Israeli strike, the Caspian route fell far short of substituting it.
Relevance: supporting · Type: event
Confidence80%
The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps seized the Panamanian-flagged MSC Francesca in the Strait of Hormuz last week.
Ali Vaez, Iran project director, International Crisis Group
Relevance: supporting · Type: quote
Confidence90%
Ali Vaez said "Undeniably, the blockade is basically sharpening the economic pain that Iran was under even before the war started. But Iranian resilience is not a question of economic pain because Iran is in an existential battle and is willing to absorb a much higher price than it has so far. And the Iranian regime doesn’t hesitate to transfer this pain to its population."
Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence90%
Iran has a stockpile of 440kg of highly enriched uranium, enough in theory for a dozen nuclear warheads.
Ariane Tabatabai, vice-president of research, security and defence, Chicago Council on Global Affairs
Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence80%
Ariane Tabatabai said Iran could reconstitute at least some of its military capabilities rapidly.
Ariane Tabatabai, vice-president of research, security and defence, Chicago Council on Global Affairs
Relevance: supporting · Type: quote
Confidence90%
Ariane Tabatabai said "Their whole military doctrine is based on building and deploying capabilities that they can acquire and maintain and use on the cheap."
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