Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence95%
Young people have been among the groups hardest hit by the recent weakening of the labour market.
Relevance: primary · Type: event
Confidence95%
Rising rates of youth unemployment have created a split at the top of the UK government over how fast it should meet its promise to give young people the full minimum wage.
Peter Kyle, business secretary
Relevance: primary · Type: action
Confidence90%
Peter Kyle, the business secretary, is understood to believe now is not the time to give 18- to 20-year-olds the full minimum wage.
Relevance: primary · Type: background
Confidence95%
Labour promised in its manifesto to equalise the rates of the minimum wage for 18- to 20-year-olds with those of workers who are 21 and over.
Torsten Bell, Treasury minister
Relevance: primary · Type: quote
Confidence95%
Torsten Bell, a Treasury minister, said: "If you look at what the Low Pay Commission said in their annual report, they didn’t find evidence that previous increases in the minimum wage for young people had had an effect on their employment."
Relevance: supporting · Type: event
Confidence95%
A government-backed report by former Labour minister Alan Milburn found that youth unemployment was costing Britain more than £125bn a year.
Relevance: supporting · Type: event
Confidence95%
Milburn’s report revealed the number of young people not working or studying had surpassed a million for the first time in more than a decade.
Alan Milburn, former Labour minister
Relevance: supporting · Type: quote
Confidence95%
Alan Milburn said: "To get the jobs there for them, you’ve got to make sure the employers are willing to take the risk. If you’re in, say, the hospitality sector or the retail sector, margins tend to be very low. These tend to be sectors that were really badly hit by the cost of living, hospitality in particular."
Tony Blair, former prime minister
Relevance: supporting · Type: quote
Confidence90%
Tony Blair warned in an essay that policies such as increasing the minimum wage had created “headwinds, not tailwinds, for businesses”.
Relevance: primary · Type: background
Confidence95%
Labour’s manifesto did not specify a timeline for equalising the minimum wage for 18- to 20-year-olds with that of workers aged 21 and over.
Torsten Bell, Treasury minister
Relevance: primary · Type: quote
Confidence95%
Torsten Bell said: "We’re committed to our manifesto that we stood on and we will deliver it. But that manifesto did not set out the timeline."
Relevance: primary · Type: action
Confidence95%
The UK government accepted a recommendation from the Low Pay Commission to increase the main rate of the minimum wage by 4.1% and the youth rate by 8.5%.
Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence95%
The main rate of the minimum wage now stands at £12.71 and the youth rate at £10.85.
Relevance: supporting · Type: event
Confidence95%
The Low Pay Commission will provide its recommendation for the financial year starting on 1 April 2027 in October.
Relevance: supporting · Type: action
Confidence85%
Some in government privately hope the Low Pay Commission will recommend a significantly lower youth minimum wage increase than this year’s.
Relevance: primary · Type: action
Confidence95%
Earlier this year, ministers changed their guidance to the Low Pay Commission to prioritise employment rates over youth unemployment rates.
Relevance: primary · Type: event
Confidence95%
The Low Pay Commission said last month it did not believe wage rises were contributing to higher youth unemployment rates.
Relevance: primary · Type: quote
Confidence95%
The Low Pay Commission stated: "While the commission recognises that labour market outcomes for young people have deteriorated over the past two years, we are not aware of any robust evidence that higher youth rates have contributed to these falls."
Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence90%
Chancellor Rachel Reeves has previously made a virtue of accepting the Low Pay Commission’s recommendations.
Relevance: supporting · Type: action
Confidence85%
Ministers could change the guidance to the Low Pay Commission again in subsequent years if they want to further slow the rise in pay for young people.
Kate Bell, assistant general secretary of the Trades Union Congress
Relevance: supporting · Type: quote
Confidence95%
Kate Bell, assistant general secretary of the Trades Union Congress, said: "There is no good evidence that the minimum wage has caused a jump in youth unemployment. This is a talking point which business always resorts to, but the evidence shows the picture is much more complex than that."
Justin Madders, former employment minister
Relevance: supporting · Type: quote
Confidence95%
Justin Madders, a former employment minister, said: "The minimum wage is set following submissions made by stakeholders to the LPC, which includes employers. That is why the rates set have always been at a level that do not impact on employment levels – a fact borne out by 25 years of evidence."
Joanne Thomas, general secretary of Usdaw
Relevance: supporting · Type: quote
Confidence95%
Joanne Thomas, general secretary of Usdaw, said: "We are deeply concerned by voices within the government suggesting that Labour’s manifesto commitment to end minimum wage rip-off youth rates should not be delivered in full. We are clear that the general election manifesto is for the lifetime of this parliament, and that is when the policy should be delivered."
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