BUDAPEST — Péter Magyar will be sworn in as prime minister of Hungary on Saturday after his Tisza party won a supermajority in last month's parliamentary election. The result ended Viktor Orbán's 16 years in power.
Magyar, a former member of the Fidesz party, has a conservative background and avoided pronouncements on progressive issues during the campaign. Fidesz holds 52 seats in Hungary's 199-seat parliament following the vote.
A poll commissioned by the European Council on Foreign Relations, conducted in the days after the election and published on Thursday, suggests that Tisza's voter base leans progressive. More than 75% of Hungarians who voted for Magyar said they want his government to do more to address the climate crisis, with 77% of Tisza voters expressing support for an ambitious climate policy.
More than 70% of Magyar's voters said they want the new government to protect LGBTQ+ rights, and 71% of Tisza voters supported or somewhat supported the new government protecting the rights of LGBTQ+ people. LGBTQ+ rights saw rollbacks under Orbán's government.
"That was my biggest surprise in this polling. There is a very clear mandate for the new government to have a more progressive stance. But it depends on whether Magyar looks at his own voters or the overall electorate, as the Hungarian public is much more divided on this," Pawel Zerka said of the findings.
On foreign policy, 64% of those polled said they expected the new government to improve relations with Kyiv, while 24% supported Budapest providing financial support for Ukraine and 12% supported providing military support. A majority, 52%, opposed halting the country's Russian energy imports. Nearly 80% of respondents said they expected the new government to improve relations with the EU, and 73% said they were confident that Hungary would gain access to the frozen recovery funds.
About 80% of Hungary's media is controlled by Fidesz loyalists, and many Fidesz loyalists remain at various levels of state institutions, including the media and judiciary. Orbán still has avenues of influence through those networks, and the approach from Brussels going forward will pose dilemmas for the incoming government.
"The dilemma is that Brussels would want to use the opportunity for a broader U-turn. But if they push for these things too hard, they might divert the attention of the new administration and also risk breaking the neck of the new prime minister by placing him in a position where he would be seen by the Hungarian electorate as somebody who was forced by Brussels to accept unpalatable compromises," Zerka said.
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