Relevance: primary · Type: action
Confidence80%
Min Aung Hlaing shed his uniform
Relevance: primary · Type: action
Confidence80%
Min Aung Hlaing named himself president
Relevance: primary · Type: action
Confidence80%
Min Aung Hlaing spoke of peace and reconciliation
Relevance: primary · Type: event
Confidence80%
The junta released President Win Myint
Relevance: primary · Type: event
Confidence80%
The junta reduced Aung San Suu Kyi’s sentence
Relevance: primary · Type: event
Confidence80%
The junta transferred Aung San Suu Kyi to house arrest
Relevance: primary · Type: event
Confidence80%
The coup-installed regime controls Naypyitaw, major airports and the urban cores of Yangon and Mandalay
Relevance: primary · Type: action
Confidence80%
In areas held by rebel forces, the military bombs, raids and blocks transit arteries
Relevance: primary · Type: background
Confidence80%
Min Aung Hlaing does not command authority across Myanmar
Relevance: primary · Type: action
Confidence80%
The junta proposed 100-day talks
Relevance: primary · Type: action
Confidence80%
The 100-day talks proposal asks resistance groups to enter a peace process designed by the junta that overthrew an elected government
Relevance: primary · Type: event
Confidence80%
Major resistance organizations rejected the 100-day talks proposal
Relevance: primary · Type: background
Confidence80%
Naypyitaw remains under regime command
Relevance: primary · Type: background
Confidence80%
Yangon remains controlled by the regime
Relevance: primary · Type: background
Confidence80%
Mandalay remains a military-held city
Relevance: primary · Type: background
Confidence80%
The junta retains aircraft
Relevance: primary · Type: background
Confidence80%
The junta retains prisons
Relevance: primary · Type: background
Confidence80%
The junta retains patronage networks
Relevance: primary · Type: background
Confidence80%
The junta has foreign backers
Relevance: primary · Type: background
Confidence80%
The junta has the capacity to inflict violence on civilian populations
Relevance: primary · Type: action
Confidence80%
The regime can retake towns, block roads and punish the general population
Relevance: supporting · Type: event
Confidence80%
Since the coup, armed resistance has spread into central Myanmar
Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence80%
Multiple armed groups exercise power and control in the conflict
Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence80%
The National Unity Government claims democratic legitimacy from the 2020 election
Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence80%
The National Unity Government has built parallel armed and administrative structures including People’s Defense Forces
Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence80%
The National Unity Government controls some People’s Defense Forces units and does not control others
Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence80%
Ambassador Kyaw Moe Tun holds Myanmar’s seat at the UN
Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence80%
Kyaw Moe Tun is aligned with the pre-coup government
Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence80%
ASEAN is divided over the junta’s latest political changes
Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence80%
In January, ISP-Myanmar estimated the regime lost control of roughly 38% of the country’s territory
Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence80%
In January, ISP-Myanmar estimated the regime had not recovered at least 150 overrun bases
Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence80%
A 2025 ISEAS study claimed anti-junta armed groups controlled as much as half the country
Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence80%
A 2025 ISEAS study claimed the military held about a quarter of the country
Relevance: supporting · Type: event
Confidence80%
The regime recently retook Falam in Chin State after a six-month offensive involving ground assaults and heavy airstrikes
Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence80%
Resistance forces remain active across Chin State
Relevance: supporting · Type: event
Confidence80%
The military recently seized Kangyi village in Saw Township in Magway Region
Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence80%
Kangyi village in Saw Township is on a strategic route to Chin State and toward Paletwa near the Rakhine State border
Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence80%
The Arakan Army controls most of Rakhine State except for three townships
Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence80%
The military is defending strategic pockets in Rakhine State including Sittwe, Kyaukphyu and Manaung
Relevance: supporting · Type: event
Confidence80%
Arakan Army exerted pressure around Sittwe
Relevance: supporting · Type: action
Confidence80%
The regime responded with naval blockades and airstrikes around Sittwe
Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence80%
Crisis monitoring reports clashes, displacement, airstrikes and insecurity across multiple regions in Myanmar including the central heartland
Relevance: supporting · Type: event
Confidence80%
In April during the Myanmar New Year holidays resistance forces captured regime positions in Karen State
Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence80%
Fighting along the Thai-Myanmar border remained intense during the Myanmar New Year holidays in April
Relevance: supporting · Type: event
Confidence80%
The Kachin Independence Army and allied anti-junta forces have expanded their influence in Kachin State by seizing towns, border crossings and rare-earth mining areas
Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence80%
The battle for Bhamo has become one of Myanmar’s most important fronts
Relevance: supporting · Type: event
Confidence80%
Operation 1027 was launched by the Three Brotherhood Alliance in Northern Shan State
Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence80%
Operation 1027 exposed the military’s weakness
Relevance: supporting · Type: action
Confidence80%
China pressures armed groups it tacitly supports or arms in Myanmar
Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence80%
China seeks to secure trade corridors near its border in Myanmar
Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence80%
Myanmar is located between China and India, linking South and Southeast Asia
Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence80%
China views Kyaukphyu as a route to the Indian Ocean
Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence80%
India has connectivity interests through the Kaladan project and Sittwe port
Relevance: supporting · Type: action
Confidence80%
The military blocks roads between Magway, Chin and Rakhine States
Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence80%
The Arakan Army dominates much of Rakhine State
Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence80%
Myanmar has experienced decades of military domination
Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence80%
Myanmar has had denial of democratic rights
Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence80%
Myanmar has not built a federal union with equality and power-sharing
Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence80%
Nyein Chan Aye is a Burmese journalist based in Washington, D.C.
Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence80%
Nyein Chan Aye previously worked for the BBC
Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence80%
Nyein Chan Aye previously worked for Voice of America
Relevance: supporting · Type: background
Confidence80%
Nyein Chan Aye writes on Myanmar, the US, China and regional affairs
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