New rules permitting European Union member states to set up "return hubs" outside the bloc have been approved by the EU, creating a unified legal framework for returns. A joint agreement among Denmark, Greece, Germany, Austria, and the Netherlands supports establishing such hubs in non-EU countries for individuals who no longer have legal grounds to stay in Europe.
In an October 2025 discussion paper, the European Council indicated that return hubs might encourage voluntary repatriation and deter those without legitimate asylum claims from undertaking perilous trips to Europe. According to EU Migration Commissioner Magnus Brunner, "Europe needs the means to protect its borders at all times. When movements are engineered and weaponised against us, this is not just a migration issue; it is a security issue. Of course we will always comply with fundamental rights and values."
Danish Interior Minister Morten Bødskov said, When it comes to return hubs, it's progressing very well. We are moving in the right direction." Denmark anticipates being able to begin transferring irregular migrants to a partner country beyond the EU by 2027. While no specific locations have been confirmed for these hubs, Rwanda has been mentioned as a possible destination."
A statement from the Greek government noted that the hubs would be located in safe third countries, especially in Africa. In 2025, the European Commission reported a 28% return rate for rejected asylum seekers—the highest over the past decade.
Irregular entries into the EU fell by 35 percent in 2025, while returns rose by 8 percent during the first half of that year. Peter Walsh, a senior researcher at the University of Oxford's Migration Observatory, said, "One lesson may be that European governments should expect litigation, even where the third country looks considerably less controversial than Rwanda. These policies are often justified as deterrence measures, and that assumes a sufficiently large share of people believe there is a realistic chance they will actually be transferred. If only a very small proportion can be moved, the deterrent may be much less credible. The broader lesson from Rwanda is that externalization is not a shortcut around the difficult parts of migration policy. It may relocate some of those difficulties geographically, but governments still have to deal with courts, individual rights, administrative capacity, countries that may not cooperate with returns, and substantial costs."
Why It Matters
The creation of return hubs signals a change in the EU’s approach to migration, shifting toward processing asylum cases outside its borders. Requirements that partner nations uphold international human rights standards and the principle of non-refoulement reflect lessons learned from earlier efforts, such as the UK’s Rwanda initiative. That program was ruled unlawful by the U.K. Supreme Court in 2023 and officially discontinued by the Labour government in 2024.
By June 2024, the British Home Office reported spending £715 million on the Rwanda scheme, with no forced relocations carried out and only four individuals traveling voluntarily to Rwanda. Rwanda has featured in several offshore migration proposals, including the UK’s 2022 plan, and is now under review as a potential partner for EU return hubs. As outlined in the European Council’s 2025 discussion paper, the strategic goal is to reduce hazardous crossings and strengthen border security.
Timeline
The U.K. Supreme Court ruled the former Conservative Party government's scheme to send asylum seekers to Rwanda unlawful in 2023. The U.K. Labour Party government formally abandoned the Rwanda deportation policy in 2024. The British Home Office stated that £715 million had been spent on the Rwanda program by June 2024, no asylum seekers were forcibly relocated, and four people traveled voluntarily to Rwanda.
A discussion paper published by the European Council in October 2025 stated that return hubs could incentivize voluntary returns and discourage people without valid asylum claims from making dangerous journeys to Europe. The European Commission proposed the regulation on establishing common rules for the return of third-country nationals in March 2025, aiming to complement the pact on migration and asylum, which started implementation on 12 June 2026. Denmark expects to be ready to transfer the first irregular migrants to a partner country outside the EU within 2027.
What's New
The EU's new Return Regulation requires that agreements for return hubs be concluded with third countries that respect international human rights standards and the principle of non-refoulement, as outlined in the Council of the European Union's official documents. In 2025, irregular arrivals to the EU decreased by 35 percent, while returns increased by 8 percent in the first half of the year, suggesting a possible shift in migration patterns that may influence the effectiveness of the new return framework.
The European Council published a discussion paper in October 2025 stating that return hubs could incentivize voluntary returns and discourage people without valid asylum claims from making dangerous journeys to Europe, suggesting a strategic intent behind the policy. The return rate of rejected asylum seekers in the EU was 28% in 2025, according to the European Commission, which is the highest return rate in the previous 10 years. Rwanda has been at the center of multiple offshore migration plans, including the UK's 2022 scheme, and is currently under consideration as a potential partner country for EU return hubs, though concerns about its adherence to international human rights standards persist.
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