A national poll indicates that 49 percent of registered voters prefer Democratic control of Congress, while 44 percent prefer Republican control. Donald Trump's job approval rating stands at 42 percent among registered voters.

Independent voters show a preference for Democratic control of Congress by a margin of 46 percent to 34 percent. Majorities of Black voters, Latino voters, voters under 50 years old, and voters with a college degree prefer Democrats to control Congress. Republican voters hold an advantage in congressional preference among men, white voters, and those without a college education. Seven percent of registered voters remain undecided on which party should control Congress.

Democrats held a 6-point lead in congressional preference in a March poll, following a tie in May 2022 voter preference. In June 2018, Democrats held a 10-point lead in voter preference for congressional control. Pollster Bill McInturff stated, "These are rocky numbers for Republicans, but they are not catastrophic." McInturff conducted the survey with pollster Jeff Horwitt, who is affiliated with Hart Research Associates. Horwitt commented, "Does this need to be 2018? No." He also added, "Democrats are still in a really good position, despite redistricting, to win seats."

Democrats need to gain three net seats to secure a majority in the House of Representatives. To gain a Senate majority, Democrats need to acquire four net seats, which would require winning multiple states that Trump won by double-digit margins in 2024. Redistricting has reduced the number of competitive House districts.

Two-thirds of independent voters disapprove of Trump's job performance as president. Among Latino voters, 64 percent disapprove, while 34 percent approve. Voters ages 18 to 29 show 77 percent disapproval and 21 percent approval of Trump's job performance. Conversely, 82 percent of Republican voters approve of Trump's job performance, and 58 percent strongly approve.

Fifty-six percent of registered voters believe the country's best years are in the past, while 40 percent believe they are ahead. This marks the fourth consecutive time a majority of poll respondents expressed this view. Approximately 60 percent of Democratic and independent voters believe the country's best years are in the past. Republican voters are divided on whether the country's best years are in the past or ahead. Majorities of white, Black, and Latino voters believe the country's best years are in the past. Some groups that lean Republican, conservative groups, and middle-class voters of color believe the country's best years are still ahead.

Approximately 80 percent of voters believe the American Dream is harder to achieve now than a generation ago. Seventeen percent believe it is about as hard to achieve, and 5 percent believe it is easier. Fifty percent of voters report having very little or no confidence in the federal government. Eighteen percent of voters report having a great deal or quite a bit of confidence in the federal government.